Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.912709 2.295517 2.725755 3.243716 3.848891 4.532069 5.360124
2025-12-28 1.436659 1.942720 2.573035 3.409829 4.484813 5.811924 7.565878
2026-01-04 1.116788 1.668733 2.417141 3.492752 4.982895 6.955767 9.742636
2026-01-11 0.921802 1.500289 2.343214 3.637549 5.545421 8.218426 12.200628
2026-01-18 0.747512 1.315810 2.199817 3.640180 5.882966 9.184467 14.334484
2026-01-25 0.591567 1.122168 2.000152 3.512187 5.988774 9.802747 16.004835
2026-02-01 0.472455 0.962254 1.821327 3.379151 6.052492 10.342471 17.586022
2026-02-08 0.398424 0.865923 1.730305 3.371975 6.308180 11.193672 19.718061
2026-02-15 0.340650 0.787585 1.656179 3.378823 6.580298 12.087473 21.989126
2026-02-22 0.288075 0.708010 1.565030 3.337751 6.756287 12.827030 24.057446
2026-03-01 0.232774 0.609962 1.419909 3.169499 6.673225 13.099362 25.333587
2026-03-08 0.198692 0.552047 1.346616 3.131159 6.827107 13.802122 27.420971
2026-03-15 0.170897 0.503709 1.287431 3.117005 7.033831 14.635098 29.846039
2026-03-22 0.160197 0.496311 1.319031 3.302420 7.666308 16.331668 34.023753
2026-03-29 0.144639 0.472388 1.307932 3.391000 8.106079 17.692887 37.674081
2026-04-05 0.133848 0.459175 1.320350 3.534578 8.678058 19.362991 42.052143
2026-04-12 0.117554 0.425825 1.276316 3.537944 8.941199 20.428948 45.316488
2026-04-19 0.098266 0.378017 1.185646 3.413446 8.899965 20.858936 47.328707
2026-04-26 0.081884 0.334724 1.098604 3.283868 8.829323 21.215777 49.211697
2026-05-03 0.072021 0.310669 1.061037 3.276897 9.047832 22.212161 52.505390
2026-05-10 0.063846 0.290268 1.030311 3.283578 9.299642 23.301331 56.075633
2026-05-17 0.055504 0.266658 0.985237 3.243555 9.429337 24.124967 59.127363
2026-05-24 0.045503 0.233034 0.901509 3.079604 9.221032 24.153096 60.419931